American Woodmark Stock Performance

AMWD Stock  USD 59.39  0.85  1.45%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.66, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Woodmark will likely underperform. At this point, American Woodmark has a negative expected return of -0.0718%. Please make sure to confirm American Woodmark's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if American Woodmark performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days American Woodmark has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, American Woodmark is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.45
Five Day Return
1.52
Year To Date Return
8
Ten Year Return
(7.23)
All Time Return
786.42
Last Split Factor
2:1
Dividend Date
2011-06-27
Ex Dividend Date
2011-06-09
Last Split Date
2004-09-27
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Begin Period Cash Flow87.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-42.7 M

American Woodmark Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,381  in American Woodmark on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (442.00) from holding American Woodmark or give up 6.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Woodmark is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0057% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than American, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Woodmark is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

American Woodmark Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 59.39 90 days 59.39 
about 27.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Woodmark to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.7 (This American Woodmark probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Woodmark will likely underperform. Additionally American Woodmark has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Woodmark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Woodmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Woodmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Woodmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4059.3962.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.4148.4065.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.2553.2456.23
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.0666.0073.26
Details

American Woodmark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Woodmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Woodmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Woodmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Woodmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.66
σ
Overall volatility
4.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

American Woodmark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Woodmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Woodmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Woodmark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Woodmark has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Winners And Losers Of Q3 Trex Vs The Rest Of The Home Construction Materials Stocks

American Woodmark Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Woodmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Woodmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.2 M

American Woodmark Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Woodmark, and American Woodmark fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Woodmark Performance

By analyzing American Woodmark's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Woodmark's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Woodmark has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Woodmark has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 53.29  42.36 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 

Things to note about American Woodmark performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Woodmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Woodmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Woodmark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Woodmark has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Winners And Losers Of Q3 Trex Vs The Rest Of The Home Construction Materials Stocks
Evaluating American Woodmark's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Woodmark's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Woodmark's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Woodmark's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Woodmark's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Woodmark's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Woodmark's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Woodmark's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Woodmark's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Woodmark's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Woodmark's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running American Woodmark's price analysis, check to measure American Woodmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Woodmark is operating at the current time. Most of American Woodmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Woodmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Woodmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Woodmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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